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How to Read a Token's Supply Information

Three numbers, frequently confused, and one schedule that matters more than all of them.

What this covers
  1. The three numbers
  2. The thing that matters more
  3. Where to find the figures
  4. What to check in the distribution
  5. The calculation worth doing
  6. The practical filter

Every token has supply figures published. Three of them get quoted and a fourth thing matters more.

The three numbers

Maximum supply. The cap, if one exists. Some tokens have none.

Total supply. How many exist now, minus any destroyed.

Circulating supply. How many are available to trade, excluding locked, vested and reserved holdings.

Market capitalisation uses the circulating figure. Fully diluted valuation uses the maximum. The two can differ by a large multiple.

The thing that matters more

The unlock schedule.

Tokens held by the team, investors and the treasury usually become available over time on a published timetable.

The amount unlocking over the next twelve months, as a share of what circulates today, is the single most price-relevant fact about most tokens. It is supply arriving on a known date.

Ratios above half are not unusual, and they almost never appear in promotional material.

Where to find the figures

The token contract on a block explorer, for total supply. This is authoritative.

The project documentation, for the distribution breakdown and the unlock schedule. Legitimate projects publish both.

Unlock tracking sites, which aggregate schedules across projects.

Data aggregators, for circulating supply, with the caveat that their figures for tokens with complex vesting are frequently out of date.

What to check in the distribution

What share went to the team and investors. A token where insiders hold most of the supply is one where the public provides exit liquidity.

What price early investors paid, frequently disclosed in funding announcements. If the public price is many multiples above it, the two groups hold the same asset at very different cost bases.

Whether the treasury is large and what governance can do with it.

The calculation worth doing

Annual new supply as a percentage of circulating supply.

A token with substantial annual issuance requires demand to grow at least that fast simply to hold its price. Over several years that compounds into a real headwind, and it is rarely presented alongside the growth narrative.

The practical filter

If the documentation does not publish a clear distribution and unlock schedule, that is an answer.

For the largest assets, supply schedules are fixed, public and simple, which is one of several reasons a beginner should stay there. Availability on regulated venues, such as a regulated exchange such as Collect & Exchange, is a further filter applied by parties who have looked at this before listing.